Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts

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Lifespan Disparity as an Additional Indicator for Evaluating Mortality Forecasts

Evaluating the predictive ability of mortality forecasts is important yet difficult. Death rates and mean lifespan are basic life table functions typically used to analyze to what extent the forecasts deviate from their realized values. Although these parameters are useful for specifying precisely how mortality has been forecasted, they cannot be used to assess whether the underlying mortality ...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Demography

سال: 2017

ISSN: 0070-3370,1533-7790

DOI: 10.1007/s13524-017-0584-0